Who Will Be the Best Democratic Nominee in 2020?

The democratic party is facing a critical decision in choosing their nominee for the 2020 presidential election. With a range of candidates including Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, and Michael Bloomberg, each has strengths and challenges that must be carefully considered.

Evaluating the Candidates

Several key factors influence the selection of the best candidate. These factors range from their political experience, popularity among the party base, and the ability to unite the diverse coalition of democrats. Here, we evaluate each candidate based on these criteria.

Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders, a long-time progressive advocate, is currently the frontrunner, with FiveThirtyEight projecting him to win nearly all 50 states. His campaign has already accumulated nearly twice the delegates of his closest rivals, Joe Biden and Michael Bloomberg. However, his chances may be more skewed than projected, with Joe Biden's numbers continuing to collapse and Bloomberg likely to win zero primaries.

Despite his popularity, Sanders faces a significant challenge. Trumponomics, or the economic policies favored by Trump, are based on a model very different from a socialist framework. Experts believe that mixing these two ideologies could be a difficult sell to the American electorate. Moreover, Sanders might become an easy target for Trump, with the latter likely to use videos from his past and recast the election as a showdown between Capitalism and Socialism.

Joe Biden

If Sanders secures the nomination, Trump is likely to win a second term. His supporters are politically naive, making it easier for them to fall back under Trump's sway. Joe Biden, on the other hand, is seen as a more moderate candidate capable of appealing to a broader range of voters. However, the election between Biden and Trump is not guaranteed; it hinges a lot on voter turnout and the specific rhetoric of each campaign.

According to numerous surveys, Joe Biden is the candidate that Trump most fears and the one most likely to be the most viable democratic nominee. His political experience, which spans decades, including time as Vice President, certainly solidifies this opinion. Biden has a proven track record in negotiating and compromising, which could be crucial in getting legislation passed in the Senate and working with a divided government.

Michael Bloomberg

Michael Bloomberg, a wealthy billionaire and former mayor of New York City, is not seen as a credible candidate at the moment. He faces several challenges, including concerns about his fundraising methods and how his money will impact the election. Additionally, his candidacy is threatened by his political stance, which makes him less appealing to certain communities within the democratic base.

Bloomberg's main contribution to the party would be his vast financial support to help maintain Democratic control of the Senate. However, his bid for the nomination is considered a long shot. He is viewed more as a potential vice-presidential candidate for the Republicans, which further reduces his viability as a presidential nominee.

Other Candidates

Other candidates like Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, Tulsi Gabbard, and Amy Klobuchar are also part of the race, but they currently lack the nationwide support necessary to win the nomination. Each has their strengths and unique positions, but the collective consensus is that they may not be the best fit for the entire democratic coalition.

Overall, while Bernie Sanders has a strong showing in the current race, the most likely outcome favors Joe Biden. His ability to unite the party and navigate the political complexities of the 2020 election make him the best candidate to win the nomination and potentially the presidency for the democrats.

In conclusion, the democratic party must carefully consider the strengths and weaknesses of each candidate before making a final decision. Time will tell who emerges as the best fit for the 2020 race, but the path to success is most likely paved through a candidate's experience, fundraising ability, and the ability to unite a broad coalition of voters.